U.S. futures struggle against uptrend linesGold hits fresh multi-year highUST 30-year yields fall to fresh, new lows
U.S. index futures, including for the NASDAQ, Dow and S&P 500 all plunged this morning, along with European and Asian indices, as the trading week kicked off on Monday. Investors sought refuge in gold, bonds and the yen, so-called haven assets, after the number of coronavirus cases reported outside China accelerated.
Global Financial Affairs
Risk-off returned to markets with a vehemence today, as warnings of a global epidemic escalated over the weekend. The number of reported cases of Covid-19 in South Korea, Japan, Singapore, Iran and Italy, among other countries, all rose. At time of writing, the fatality rate has hit 2,619.
Adding to the market’s grim sentiment, during the weekend, G-20 leaders, meeting in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia said “the fast-spreading coronavirus posed a serious risk to global growth.”
NASDAQ futures are struggling to remain above an uptrend line from the Oct. 3 low, while the RSI completes a H&S pattern, signaling the uptrend line will fail to keep prices up much longer.
Shares of automakers and miners dragged the STOXX Europe 600 Index lower today. Italy’s FTSE MIB is down more than 4%. Italy, with 157 reported cases of Covid-19, along with 3 deaths, is looking like it’s Europe’s epicenter for the pandemic. Government authorities there have locked down an area of 50,000 people near Milan. The country’s government bonds slumped.
In Asia, Japan’s markets are closed for a holiday. However, South Korea’s KOSPI suffered a near-4 percent loss of value. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, China’s Shanghai Composite and Australia’s ASX 200 were all hit with selloffs as well.
UST 30Y Daily
The Australian dollar dropped to a fresh, 11-year low.
Note the chart’s similiarty to that of yields, demonstrating the strong dollar dominance of these moves. The Aussie has broken a variety of technical gauges including falling below its rising channel since September, and a bearish downturn in its MAs.
Gold gapped up this morning, reaching $1,689, the highest level for the yellow metal since early 2013.
Gold is extending an upside breakout to a continuation pattern, as is appropriate after completing a massive bottom since mid-2013, as per a call we made back in August.
- Earnings results keep on coming. This week, investors will hear from: Home Depot (NYSE:HD) and Salesforce.com (NYSE:CRM) on Tuesday; Peugeot (OTC:PUGOY) on Wednesday; Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), Best Buy (NYSE:BBY) and Dell (NYSE:DELL) Thursday; and Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYND) on Friday.
- The next Democratic presidential debate, this time in South Carolina, will take place on Tuesday.
- The Bank of Korea announces its policy decision on Thursday, with risks to its economic outlook growing amid a local surge in coronavirus cases.
- U.S. jobless claims, GDP and durable goods released on Thursday.
- Japan’s industrial production, jobs, and retail sales figures are due on Friday local time (late Thursday evening in the U.S.).
- The Stoxx Europe 600 Index sank 2.3%.
- Futures on the S&P 500 Index slipped 1.9%.
- NASDAQ 100 Index futures fell 3.0%.
- The MSCI Asia Pacific Index decreased 1.3%.
- The yield on 10-year Treasuries fell seven basis points to 1.40%.
- Germany’s 10-year yield decreased four basis points to -0.48%.
- Britain’s 10-year yield decreased three basis points to 0.543%.
West Texas Intermediate crude sank 2.9% to $51.82 a barrel.Gold strengthened 2% to $1,676.31 an ounce.